Morning Report: Earnings Help Buck Rate Hike Fears

 

Daily-report

 

 

Fri, 30 Jan 2015

Binary.com

  • This morning, financial markets are tucking back slightly after a late rally on the S&P 500 last night. This was largely inspired by corporate earnings from McDonalds and Boeing. The dollar index is dancing a similar tune as the highs remain in sight.

30-01-2015 08-23-16

30-01-2015 08-23-52

  • The Australian dollar continues to weaken on speculation that the RBA will cut interest rates at their meeting last week. Australian equities enjoyed the news, not so the Aussie dollar.

30-01-2015 08-25-14

 

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30-01-2015 08-25-35

  • The euro is firm this morning, having made back 3/4 of Wednesday’s losses.

30-01-2015 08-25-53

  • The yen continues to back and fill, this time to the downside after slightly below par housing starts data.

30-01-2015 08-24-33

  • Finally, gold is recovering some of its poise after heavy selling yesterday.

30-01-2015 08-24-13

Coming up today:
  • Coming up today we have UK net lending to individuals at 09.30.
  • This is followed by European CPI flash estimate at 10.00 and unemployment claims.
  • Canadian and US GDP follows at 13.30. With Chicago PMI at 14.45.
Trade Idea:
  • With a rate cut in the offing and the US dollar heading in a different trajectory, the Australian dollar could have further downside from here.

30-01-2015 08-25-14

  • A good way to play this is a LOWER trade predicting that the AUD/ USD will close below 0.7700 in 35 days for a potential return of 133%

30-01-2015 08-46-41

This is presented as an idea to stimulate fixed odds financial betting ideas and is not financial advice.

Summary:

30-01-2015 08-23-04

 

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Morning Report: Aussie Slips As Dollar Receives Fed Boost

Daily-report

 

Thu, 29 Jan 2015

  • This morning, stock markets are stable after selling off heavily into the close last night. The Federal reserve kept on message, reiterating that the ‘patient’ is recovering with means a rate hike is more likely than not this year. Stock markets don’t like the sound of an end to the era of cheap credit so threw their toys out of the bathwater.

29-01-2015 08-35-23

 

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  • Meanwhile, the dollar index strengthened in line with interest rate expectations.

29-01-2015 08-35-00

  • The big mover this morning is the Australian dollar, which is dropping in the face of the strong US dollar and weak import prices data.

29-01-2015 08-36-19

  • Overnight there was little to cheer about from New Zealand with a trade balance that ballooned more than expected.

29-01-2015 08-35-53

  • The euro is generally blowing with the breeze today and not showing any relative weakness or out performance.

29-01-2015 08-38-09

29-01-2015 08-38-32

Coming up today:
  • Coming up today we have UK CBI sales at 11.00.
  • This is followed by US unemployment claims at 13.30, with pending home sales at 15.00.
Trade Idea:
  • The USD/CAD continues to strengthen as oil prices test new lows.

29-01-2015 08-50-45

  • New highs could be in the offing here and a good way to play this is a HIGHER trade predicting that the USD/CAD will close above 1.2600 in 7 days could return 182% if successful.

29-01-2015 08-53-42

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Summary:

29-01-2015 08-38-57

 

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Morning Report: Euro Steadies As NY Hit By Big Freeze

Daily-report

 

 

Tue, 27 Jan 2015

  • This morning, stock markets are slightly negative, while the dollar index peels back ahead of the big freeze (and shut down) hitting New York City. Markets are also eyeing Apple and Yahoo’s results released later.

27-01-2015 08-15-53

27-01-2015 08-16-26

  • The euro continues to out perform, with the impact of the Greek election result clearly limited so far. Both the EUR/ USD and EUR/ GBP are set to put two consecutive up days together for the first time this month.

27-01-2015 08-21-31

27-01-2015 08-21-53

  • Elsewhere, the yen pairs are on the back foot, with the USD/ JPY down 0.34%. The EUR/ JPY is unchanged however as it fights the general trend.

27-01-2015 08-22-27

 

 

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27-01-2015 08-23-00

Coming up today:
  • Coming up today we have UK preliminary GDP, alongside BBA mortgage approvals at 09.30.
  • From 13.30, we switch to core durable goods, with CB consumer confidence and new home sales following at 15.00.
Trade Idea:
  • While the dollar is pulling back, the USD/ CAD is still holding the highs this morning as oil prices drip back towards the lows.

27-01-2015 08-16-50

  • The trend is still strong for the pair, which points to more upside potential from here. A good way to play this is a HIGHER trade predicting that the USD/ CAD will close above 1.2500 in 7 days time for a potential return of 116%.

27-01-2015 08-38-15

This is presented as an idea to stimulate fixed odds financial betting ideas and is not financial advice.

Summary:

27-01-2015 08-21-07

 

 

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Morning Report: Euro Rallies Despite Syriza Victory

 

eurusd1

 

 

Mon, 26 Jan 2015

  • Far left party Syriza fell two short of forming am outright government in Greece, but they are expected to form the majority share in coalition government. The long term consequences of this development are still unclear, but judging by market reactions so far, election result is hardly leading to euro melt down. The victory was largely predicted with the euro area increasingly insulated from Greek instability.
  • The S&P 500 gapped lower at the open, but is recovering, while the dollar index dips from the highs.

26-01-2015 08-03-30

26-01-2015 08-02-34

  • The yen pairs are leading a reversal of sorts, with the EUR/ JPY one of the best performing pairs here.

26-01-2015 08-00-00

26-01-2015 07-59-28

26-01-2015 07-56-17

 

 

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26-01-2015 08-00-30

  • The dollar pairs are showing a similar reversal, with the EUR/ USD showing some promise.

26-01-2015 08-01-29

26-01-2015 08-01-05

  • Gold is sliding back however as the worst fears from last week subside.

26-01-2015 08-01-45

Coming up today:
  • Coming up today we have German Ifo business climate at 09.00.
  • Following this we have UK BBA mortgage approvals at 09.30.
Trade Idea:
  • The EUR/ USD is rallying this morning, despite the attention grabbing Greek election results. The prospects for the euro still remain uncertain in the long term, but in the short term we could have seen an exhaustion low.

26-01-2015 08-01-29

26-01-2015 08-23-00

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Summary:

26-01-2015 07-55-44

 

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Morning Report: Draghi Delivers…Now What?

eurusd

Fri, 23 Jan 2015

Binary.com

  • It was a huge day for Mario Draghi’s ECB yesterday and the general consensus is that he did not fluff his lines. The highly anticipated QE program came in slightly bigger than expected and so far, there are few holes that analysis have found to pick through. Those holes will no doubt get bigger over time, especially the issue of limited risk sharing, but for now, markets are satisfied.
  • Looking at the big picture, the S&P 500 enjoyed the news though is unchanged this morning. Elsewhere, the dollar index pushed to new highs just as the euro sunk back.

23-01-2015 08-21-15

23-01-2015 08-21-34

  • The euro itself dropped further as the larger than expected plan hit the tapes yesterday . The EUR/ USD dropped to its lowest levels since 2003, while the EUR/ JPY is challenging the 134.00 support level. Worse than expected German Flash manufacturing PMI is adding more weight to the decline.

23-01-2015 08-17-11

23-01-2015 08-20-03

 

 

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23-01-2015 08-19-40

  • Elsewhere, the AUD/ JPY is dipping significantly despite Chinese flash manufacturing PMI topping estimates. The USD/ JPY are generally weaker, but the Aussie pair is under performing.

23-01-2015 08-22-29

23-01-2015 08-22-54

  • Finally, gold is slipping back slightly from the highs.

23-01-2015 08-20-45

Coming up today:
  • Coming up today we have UK retail sales at 09.30.
  • This is followed by Canadian core CPI and retail sales at 13.30.
Trade Idea:
  • So where now for the euro? Draghi has delivered on his part, but now its the politician’s turn. The ECB has done just about all it can with monetary policy in the circumstances, but structural reforms need to be made at the fiscal level. Before we see any evidence of progress here, we could see further euro downside.

23-01-2015 08-20-03

  • A good way to play this is a LOWER trade on the EUR/ JPY predicting that the pair will close below 133.50 in 35 days time for a potential return of 122%.

This is presented as an idea to stimulate fixed odds financial betting ideas and is not financial advice.

Summary:

23-01-2015 08-16-44

 

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Morning Report: Mario Draghi Day of Reckoning

gold

 

 

Thu, 22 Jan 2015

Binary.com

  • Markets are relatively quiet today as we reach Mario Draghi day of reckoning. He is expected to announce the size and details of the ECB’s bond buying program around 1.30 PM today and little will matter until the plan is released. Markets are expecting the ECB to announce a program in the magnitude of €500bn to €700bn over 18 months, but the amounts may matter less than the perception of the program being open ended. Draghi has a difficult hand to play, keeping the Eurozone and German lawmakers happy at the same time. Will it be a grand plan to save the continent, or a disappointing compromise? Expect a reaction siding with the former, leading to the latter as the details are analysed.
  • So far today, the S&P 500 is taking a glass half full view rising for the third day in a row. The dollar index is holding at the highs.

22-01-2015 08-26-27

 

 

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22-01-2015 08-25-54

  • Gold is the biggest mover, down 0.63%, reversing recent gains.

22-01-2015 08-24-59

  • Meanwhile the USD/CAD has continue to rise, up 0.26% today after smashing gains yesterday.

22-01-2015 08-24-17

  • The NZD/USD is also stable after big losses yesterday.

22-01-2015 08-27-11

Coming up today:
  • The ECB is the only real ticket that matters, but we have some warm up events along the way.
  • At 09.00 and 09.25 we have speeches from MPC members Miles and Fisher respectively. Public sector net borrowing figures are released at 09.30, followed by CBI industrial order expectations at 11.00.
  • We have the ECB minimum bid rate at 12.45, but no change is expected here. The big ticket is the ECB press conference at 13.30 .
  • US unemployment claims are released at the same time.
Trade Idea:
  • The euro movements are likely to be something of a lottery today, but it’s worth noting gold’s weakness. It put on a short spurt on the back of the SNB move, but is reversing today. This reversal could have further to run, especially if/when liquidity seeps in on the back of the ECB.

22-01-2015 08-24-59

  • A good way to play this is a LOWER trade predicting that gold will close below $1250 in 7 days time for a potential return of 312%.

22-01-2015 08-53-15

This is presented as an idea to stimulate fixed odds financial betting ideas and is not financial advice.

Summary:

22-01-2015 08-24-40

 

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Morning Report: Yen Rebuilds As BOJ Keep Steady

 

usdjpy

 

 

Wed, 21 Jan 2015

 

Binary.com

  • This morning, the Japanese yen is the big mover after the Bank of Japan kept their policy unchanged, but did downgrade inflation expectations. The upshot is a near complete reversal of yesterday’s gains, with the USD/ JPY down 0.88%. Other yen pairs are following suit, but the AUD/ JPY is holding up better, down just 0.58%.

21-01-2015 08-01-22

 

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21-01-2015 08-08-19

21-01-2015 08-08-52

 

21-01-2015 08-09-22

  • The Aussie is holding up well, helped by its isolation form the European jitters over the ECB’s QE plans. The NZD/ USD is following suit.

21-01-2015 08-11-11

  • Elsewhere, the dollar pairs are mixed to weak, with the USD/ CAD pulling back following big gains yesterday. The dollar index is pulling back from yesterday’s highs.

21-01-2015 08-00-41

  • Gold continues to travel well ahead of the ECB meeting.

21-01-2015 08-09-40

  • Stock markets are mixed with the S&P 500 largely unchanged this morning.

21-01-2015 08-10-34

Coming up today:
  • Coming up today we have the release of the minutes from the last MPC meeting, alongside claimant count change and average earnings data.
  • From 13.30 we switch to North America with Canadian wholesale sales and US building permits.
  • At 15.00, we have the Canadian rate policy announcement with the press conference at 16.15.
Trade Idea:
  • We can only guess what the ECB will actually announce tomorrow. Many analysts have put forward their expectations, but the actual release will come down to Draghi and co. Therefore, the short term direction is highly uncertain. Further out, there may be some value in betting on a continuation of the downside we’ve seen over recent months, especially against the British pound.

21-01-2015 08-26-57

21-01-2015 08-31-27

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Summary:

21-01-2015 08-07-46

 

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Morning Report: US Dollar Getting Back On Track

 

us-dollar

 

Tue, 20 Jan 2015

Binary.com

  • This morning, the US dollar index is continuing to get its trend back on track, pushing yen pairs higher and limiting gains on the dollar pairs. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 is rising after a blip on Friday.

20-01-2015 08-03-16

20-01-2015 08-03-41

  • The USD/JPY is rallying for the third straight day, lifting all other yen pairs especially the GBP/JPY which is up 0.55%.

20-01-2015 08-04-25

 

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20-01-2015 08-04-57

  • Elsewhere, the NZD/USD and AUD/USD are lagging after Chinese growth slowed to its lowest level in 25%, even as it overtook the US.

20-01-2015 08-02-41

20-01-2015 08-07-27

Coming up today:
  • Coming up today we have German ZEW economic sentiment at 10.00.
  • Canadian manufacturing sales follow at 13.30.
  • From 15.00 we switch to the US, with FOMC member Powell speaking alongside the release of NAHB housing market index.
Trade Idea:
  • The USD/JPY is slowly climbing back higher and while the trend is yet to regain its previous strength, the longer term direction is still higher.

20-01-2015 08-04-25

  • A good way to play this is a HIGHER trade predicting that the USD/JPY will close above 118.50 in 7 days time for a potential return of 108%.

20-01-2015 08-33-37

This is presented as an idea to stimulate fixed odds financial betting ideas and is not financial advice.

Summary:

20-01-2015 08-02-07

 

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Morning Market Report: Quiet After The Storm

 

19-01-2015-08-45-46

 

 

Binary.com

  • This morning, markets are relatively quiet after the shock move from the Swiss National Bank Last week. Stock markets futures are unchanged after a strong showing on Friday, while the dollar index is holding around the highs.

 

19-01-2015 08-49-46

  • On FX markets, we’re generally seeing a rewinding of the big moves last week, with the EUR/ CHF and USD/ CHF rebounding and clawing back a very small proportion of last week’s losses.

19-01-2015 08-42-24

  • The euro too is recovering, with the EUR/ GBP and EUR/ USD up around 0.15%. Small beer, but gains nonetheless.

19-01-2015 08-45-46

 

 

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  • Elsewhere, the Australian dollar is pulling back, especially the AUD/ JPY which is falling in line with the USD/ JPY.

19-01-2015 08-42-57

Coming up today:
  • Coming up today, we have the German Buba monthly reports.
  • There is also a bank holiday for the US with Martin Luther King.
Trade Idea:
  • Gold was pushed higher via the SNB activities, but looks prone for a pullback.

19-01-2015 08-43-22

  • A good way to play this is a LOWER trade predicting that gold will close BELOW $1250 in 7 days time for a potential return of 216%.

19-01-2015 08-58-04

This is presented as an idea to stimulate fixed odds financial betting ideas and is not financial advice.

Summary:

19-01-2015 08-41-51

 

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Morning Report: Markets Stable After Swiss Black Swan

 

eurchf

 

 

Fri, 16 Jan 2015

  • Markets are relatively quiet after the Swiss National Bank dropped a large boulder in the calm waters of the the EUR/CHF, with ripple effects across the FX world. The moves was completely unexpected and with other fears dominating trader’s radars, the SNB action is an archetypal Black Swan as made famous by Nassim Taleb.

16-01-2015 08-30-38

  • The move saw a surge in interest for the Swiss Franc, which had a knock on effect of selling the euro and hitting the dollar. One leading theory surrounding the activity is that the SNB did not want to get in the way of forthcoming QE from the ECB and if that’s the case then the euro value is likely to be diluted.

16-01-2015 08-32-37

16-01-2015 08-35-47

  • The dollar is suffering as traders swap their Greenbacks for Swissy, with the big winner being the Japanese yen as the USD/ JPY drops to the 116.00 area, though is rising this morning.

16-01-2015 08-32-55

 

 

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16-01-2015 08-33-51

16-01-2015 08-34-21

  • Stock markets suffered on the news, with the S&P 500 unchanged this morning after heavy falls yesterday.

16-01-2015 08-37-09

Coming up today:
  • Coming up today we have final European CPI at 10.00.
  • This is followed by US CPI at 13.30 and Capacity Utilisation at 14.15. Prelim UoM consumer sentiment follows at 14.55.
Trade Idea:
  • With momentum still firmly against the euro, its a case of picking the right pair to ride the wave lower. The EUR/ JPY has seen the largest falls, but the pair is sitting right on long term support. A better bet might be the EUR/ GBP as yesterday’s slump saw it crash through long term support at 0.7700, with clear skies below this.

16-01-2015 08-32-37

16-01-2015 08-53-24

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Summary:

16-01-2015 08-32-17

 

 

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